Thursday, September 8, 2016

New Insight Into Maura's Accident in Hadley

About 39 hours before Maura disappeared, she was involved in another accident, in Hadley, very near the UMass campus. The story relayed to police by Maura's friends, family, and the responding officer was that Maura was driving her father's car to his motel at 3 a.m. after leaving a party at Sara Alfieri's dorm with Kate Markopoulos -- a party that was standing-room only, but one where Kate doesn't remember who else was there.

I've always questioned why Maura would be traveling to Fred's room at that late hour instead of waiting for the morning. A frequent reader who has spent time in Hadley has the best explanation I've heard of so far. I'd never considered how strange it would be for her to have kept her father's car on campus to begin with, for any length of time:

"Why would Maura take her dad's car to campus when UMass police are nazis with parking tickets? His car did not have a pass and the lots are only partially plowed in winter. They actually truck snow into those lots from other lots to let it melt in a massive pile in the back corner. There would have been limited parking for students with stickers let alone guest spots. There are no guest spots there and visitors can only park in blue lots. The blue lot there is tiny and would have been full. Full to the point that it would have been stupid to leave a spot to run out and think it would be open when she returned.

So I got to thinking about the townhouse apartments on Meadow Street. The parties there are massive. Like 300 kids and police getting bottles bashed on their heads kinda crazy. I remember my friend having a massive party at his place and him saying that there are lots of UMass athletic kids that live across the street and that is why the parties get so huge over there.

Now think about this. We doubt the party was at the dorms. It just does not happen. RAs do checks on the floor and it would have been busted.

If they partied at the townhouses, the crash would make more sense. If she dropped the girls off and left to go back to the party with the random guy no one seems to know, she would have dropped them off at the turn around behind the building and went back the way she came leading to the crash intersection. If she wanted to avoid cops since she was drunk and get to her dad in the middle of the night, going right out of the lot and a right at the corner where Rafters is makes more sense. She is literally driving out of her way if she was heading to her dad's room.

It is more likely that she left to bring the girls home and go back to meet up with this guy. She headed out over 116 and crashed. She freaked and said she was going to see her dad and the cop let her go since the route makes sense to the cop. If she had taken a right where she had crashed and gone a mile, she would be at Meadow Street townhouses.

No one goes to a party where no one knows each other. No one hosts a party and then cannot name names. No girl goes off drunk driving daddy's car to go find daddy. That would be the last thing a drunk girl would want to do. She had to have taken that route for a reason and getting to her dad is not it. The route does not make sense. This was a track party off campus and the "foggy memory" is to cover their asses and the track teams ass."

21 comments:

  1. Ancientexplorer1989September 8, 2016 at 7:11 AM

    knowing the area well, this makes a good deal of sense.

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  2. BUT, what does this even prove, If anything?

    It does not change anything about the evening of feb 9th 2004.

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  3. A thoughtful, reasoned explanation from someone who should know: an Amherst student.

    Amherst, open your minds, and let the words flow.

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  4. From previous post, Bill Rausch had said that he was sure the party was off-campus. Interesting with this knew theory since Kate and Sarah were so vague about the party in Sarah dorm. So how did Bill know? From Maura? Is there any information out there where Bill questioned the place of the party? When did they all get together and hatched this theory at Sarah's dorm?
    This to me is a very credible and can be substantiated. Answer's the why was Maura driving to her Dad's. Also, Fred was vague on this too.

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  5. Makes a lot of sense. Thanks for sharing. I've also always thought that it was weird they claimed Sara lived in a dorm... while it is certainly possible, and I have no evidence otherwise, I feel like it's rare to find an upperclassman living in a dorm. They usually end up in a townhouse or apartment....

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  6. Why would she need her dad's car if she had her own? Why take a chance in the snow driving a new car? Doesn't make sense to me.

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  7. This is a very interesting and thorough analysis but it ignores some facts that have been pointed out many times in the past. Lots did not get ticketed on the weekends. The much more edifying connection to entertain is one that John Green has mentioned many times, between Fred's not likely story about picking up Kate in a student lot, why Maura had Fred's car at all after dinner/drinks and the 3 am crash.

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  8. I agree, this theory seems to fit the facts with some common logic. I had to go back and read Fred's statement to the Umass police to refresh my memory. Maybe it is just the way the statement is typed or taken by the officer conducting the interview. But one of the many things that pops out at me in this statement is the way he keeps switching between who is driving his car and what he is expecting to happen. There is certainly a reason why Fred agrees to lend Maura his new car for the night. There has to be another reason other then just simply driving between his hotel and the Umass parking lot. He states that after dropping him off that they where headed back to the dorm. Although he doesn't say the party was being held there. The next statement is quite puzzeling. He mentions that "I told them it was too late, but they said it doesn't get started until late". If the "party" was just as we have been told, just the three girls at Sara's dorm room, why would it start late? Who else would they need other then Sara? Fred's statement, to me atleast, implies that he is under the impression that there is going to be more people then just the girls. The other thing that makes a party (with a lot of people) at the dorm unlikely is the fact that one of Maura's jobs was to check people coming into the dorms at night. So we know that Umass was serious about who was coming and going at the dorm buildings. I doubt that a "party" with multiple people starting late is going to happen in Sara's dorm room. Did Sara have a room mate? It makes more logical sense that the party was off of campus or far enough away from the dorms that driving there would be the choice. No where in Fred's statement does he say that he is expecting Maura to come back to his hotel after the party. I think that it is unlikely that Maura was going to Fred's hotel when she wrecked his car. In fact we don't know for sure she was alone or even the driver do we? Where she was actually going is a mystery. I would be interested in what someone who attended Umass back in 2004 would say about the parking situation on a weekend. The snow/weather condition would also be a question as we know Maura parked her Saturn in one of the lots. I assume at some point on Friday or Saturday she would have to move her car to allow for plowing the lot.

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    1. 2004 grad here - I was off campus for the last two years, but when I was on campus, parking on the weekends actually was not an issue. Most students living on campus parked in yellow or purple lots. Anyone who was not a freshman most likely had a purple lot sticker, and they did not check those on weekends at the time. There was a huge purple lot across the street from Southwest, where it would have been very easy to park a car that did not have a permit at that time. Even if there was snow, those lots tended to empty out enough on the weekends that bringing a car without a permit would not have been an issue. Hope that helps.

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  9. This makes a lot of sense. Excellent detective work!

    I can think of one other possible scenario. Something upset Maura at the party. Something upset her a lot. She goes to her dad's hotel room because she wants to be close to him, to confide in him. On the way she has another accident. By the time she gets there she chickens out and doesn't tell him what happened, and at that point he's angry about the accident anyway.

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  10. I still don't understand why Sara, et al, don't come forward to tell what they know or don't know. People reluctant to talk when all we want to do is find Maura.

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  11. I thought the guy she left with had a Greek name, a cousin of Kate????

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  12. You could be right, Jodi.

    There is no mistaking that something happened prior to the accident with Fred's new car. Besides the conflicting stories, the actions by Maura simply doesn't match what we are being lead to believe. If the party was off campus it makes sense they would need a car. Where the party was and who was there would have been irrelevant if they simply stated that. The fact that everyone seem to be vague about what happened leads me to believe they have a reason to not mention it.
    I know that Maura was close to her father and he was in town for one night. But I have a hard time believing that she had any plans on going back to Fred's hotel in the middle of the night to return the car and sleep there. Especially since she had her own dorm room to sleep in. (With no room mate). Why bother Fred at all when she could have driven the car back the next morning? The chances that she was worried about some parking ticket? I think the percentage of that being the reason for going to the hotel at that hour is very low. I think the percentage is high that she wasn't going to the hotel at all. After the police showed up and they had to tow the car somewhere, the place that makes the most sense is Fred's hotel. She simply rode with the tow truck driver back to Fred's hotel. Probably to break the news to Fred and face the music so to speak. The phone records show she calls Billly, (with Fred's phone), early in the morning without any reservations for the hour. Clearly upset according to Billy. Again it makes a lot of sense that Fred reamed her out for wrecking his new car and that is why she calls Billy. I am not blaming Fred, as it is a common human reaction to the situation. I would expect that he would be angry. What I find interesting is not that she calls him, but the fact that Billy says that there was something else bothering her besides the car accident. That piece of information leads back to either Thursday night or what happened earlier that night at the "party". One intriguing thing Fred mentions, off the cuff, is that when he drops Maura off at her dorm Sunday morning, she has to reach in the back seat and get her stuff. What stuff? Are we to presume clothing from the night before? We are clearly missing some pieces of the puzzle about what really happened that night. Also more then likely, the beginning of the path that lead Maura to leave Umass.
    Someone above asked what does any of this have to with what happened in NH. Well we don't know why Maura left, where she was going or her plans. All of those things start at Umass and quite possibly before that. Without those things we have no way of knowing if any of it matters or not. If this case was as simple as someone disappearing between point A and point B then the likelihood that someone harmed Maura is at the top of the list. Fred wants everyone to think that it is as simple as that. There is just too much drama going on in Maura's life not to consider other possibilities. Following Maura actions and trying to figure out her motivation is where we are at. Finding her, or what happened to her, should be the goal. I am not sure that is the goal for everyone involved in this case.

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    1. Unless someone at the party slipped something, a mind altering drug or else a date rape drug. If Maura did indeed know someone who was the victim of a sexual assault that was perpetrated via the use of a ruffie, it would have indeed bothered her enough to cause her to lose concentration. All the thoughts of what ifs would have led to her getting distracted, thus this recently discovered. What we need to do is look at Maura's friends at West Point and find someone who suddenly disappears or else drops out. If someone she was close to was the victim of a sexual assault then Maura may have suffered from what I'm calling bystanders guilt. All this trouble began with West Point, that's where we will find the piece that will cause all the other pieces to fall into place; someone Maura was close to; a sister, female friend, male friend, genderfluid friend, agender friend, a teacher...was the victim of a violent sexual crime, something that may have been committed by someone she knew.........

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  13. My latest theory based on the "new insight" - it does make sense she would drop her friends off at their dorm and head back to the off-campus party to meet a guy. Could this be the guy she decided to take a break with for a few days and was driving in tandem with. He either is still with her or killed her. Does SARA have a brother? (this would be a reason she refuses to talk - she said she didn't want to get anyone in trouble.

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    1. Logically, this person is not still with her or there would be another unexplained missing person on the same day. If someone vanished with her, they would definitely be missed by SOMEONE.

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    2. Unless the person told everyone he/she was going to live in another place for a job say. That person wouldn't necessarily be "missing". This person just happened to move to this new place with Maura.

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    3. Yes - but does that person stay in contact with their family and friends and just never ever mention this other person exists? That's a difficult lie to maintain for 12 years.

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